TinyChan

Topic: There was once a time.

+Anonymous A — 6 months ago #67,454

A time when an American invasion of Canada 🇨🇦 would be portrayed as a joke by conservative media.

Now in 2025 CE, a new fascist threat is encouraging the retarded conservative masses to participate in a potential war effort to annex the country and turn them into a state.

Meanwhile, Mexico 🇲🇽 likely wouldn't back down either and could potentially counter-invade from the Southern end of the country.

How the fuck does Trump expect to turn this country into a state when it's separated into provinces?

This felt like the war fantasy of a little boy playing army men. What the fuck is this world?

+Anonymous B — 6 months ago, 5 minutes later[T] [B] #670,112

All I’m going to say is, there’s only one pattern to everything that’s being planned for America and it’s Russia first.

·Anonymous B — 6 months ago, 1 minute later, 6 minutes after the original post[T] [B] #670,113

And you know what? Hats off to the FSB. Love them or hate them, you can’t deny they’re professionals at what they do.

·Anonymous A (OP) — 6 months ago, 5 hours later, 5 hours after the original post[T] [B] #670,142

@670,112 (B)
A capitalistic Russia or a return to communism?

+Anonymous C — 6 months ago, 24 minutes later, 6 hours after the original post[T] [B] #670,143

@previous (A)
Now way in Hell will Trump take over Canada. Just the Health care system is something Trump wants no part of nor could one kill the system in place.
Four polls taken by Canadians show them from 70% to 90% against it.

+Anonymous D — 6 months ago, 1 minute later, 6 hours after the original post[T] [B] #670,145

shut the fuck up catherine

·Anonymous A (OP) — 6 months ago, 29 minutes later, 6 hours after the original post[T] [B] #670,152

@670,143 (C)
Trump could always abolish the system should they become a state. That's why he likely wants for them to be a state. So, he could assert more power over them. Are you forgetting that the U.S. has the strongest military force in the world and Canada has next to nothing. Trump knows this and probably plans to annex them.

·Anonymous C — 6 months ago, 23 minutes later, 7 hours after the original post[T] [B] #670,155

@previous (A)
Abolish would lead to total chaos of the Health care system. With no back up people would disintegrate.

+Anonymous E — 6 months ago, 3 hours later, 10 hours after the original post[T] [B] #670,164

@670,152 (A)
Canada is allied with countries other than the United States which have nuclear weapons which would be required to defend Canada.

·Anonymous A (OP) — 6 months ago, 31 minutes later, 10 hours after the original post[T] [B] #670,165

@previous (E)
Trump was going to fire 10% of NASA employees when NASA discovered another asteroid that could actually hit the Earth. What makes you think he cares about a potential nuclear warfare scenario?

+Anonymous F — 6 months ago, 24 minutes later, 11 hours after the original post[T] [B] #670,166

@previous (A)
There have been five mass extinctions in the Earth’s 4.5 billion year history, and only one of those was caused by an asteroid impact. The probability of an asteroid colliding with Earth that’s actually large enough to do significant damage is extremely low. However, asteroids do collide with the Earth occasionally, but usually the most damage they do is explode in the atmosphere due to extreme heating from the friction of the atmosphere and destroy some windows at most.

·Anonymous F — 6 months ago, 4 minutes later, 11 hours after the original post[T] [B] #670,167

@670,165 (A)
Although, firing 10% of NASA is unjustified for other reasons. Mainly that it’s a conflict of interest with SpaceX and despite what Musk fans will say, NASA and SpaceX fulfill different purposes. SpaceX is a rocket company and NASA is primarily a scientific research organization and they only build rockets sometimes as a consequence of their scientific studies in order to get their scientific instruments, researchers / astronauts, telescopes, and robotic probes into space, but it’s not their main purpose. But it’s not an existential threat to humanity. Even if it was, there are other space agencies including ESA, Roscosmos, China, India, Canada etc.

·Anonymous F — 6 months ago, 1 minute later, 11 hours after the original post[T] [B] #670,168

Even New Zealand has a space agency these days for some reason.

·Anonymous A (OP) — 6 months ago, 2 hours later, 13 hours after the original post[T] [B] #670,171

@670,166 (F)
Are you willing to take those statistics on faith?

@670,167 (F)
If there is an asteroid that we miss then we'd be fucked, so yes, it kind of is an existential threat to humanity.

·Anonymous D — 6 months ago, 29 minutes later, 13 hours after the original post[T] [B] #670,172

yoda-that-is-why-you-fail.gif@previous (A)
if there was an asteroid lined up to hit us there wouldnt be shit we could do about it so itsa moot point

+Anonymous G — 6 months ago, 55 minutes later, 14 hours after the original post[T] [B] #670,173

@670,171 (A)
The probability of something happening at least once is 1-(1-p)^n where n is the probability of an event occurring on each trial and n is the number of trials. If there was one extinction causing asteroid impact in the last 4.5 billion years, we can assign a value of 1 over 5 billion to p. So the function for the probability of an extinction causing asteroid impact in the next n years is f(n) = 1-(1-1/(5*10^9))^n, where n is the number of years.

If you do the math, these are the probabilities of an extinction causing asteroid impact give n years:

In the next 10 years: 0.0000002%
In the next 100 years: 0.000002%
In the next 10,000 years: 0.0002%
In the next 1,000,000 years: 0.02%
In the next 100,000,000 years: 1.98%

So if you wait a hundred million years, there will be 98.02% odds that the world wasn’t ended by an asteroid. That doesn’t mean humans won’t go extinct, it just means, it almost certainly won’t be because of an asteroid impact.

·Anonymous G — 6 months ago, 2 minutes later, 14 hours after the original post[T] [B] #670,174

@previous (G)
I rounded up from 4.5 billion to 5 billion, but really it makes no meaningful difference.

·Anonymous G — 6 months ago, 6 minutes later, 15 hours after the original post[T] [B] #670,176

@670,172 (D)
> if there was an asteroid lined up to hit us there wouldnt be shit we could do about it so itsa moot point

Also if you think about it, the duration of time you would have to wait in order for an asteroid impact to be statistically likely would be several orders of magnitude longer than human civilization has existed, so society would certainly collapse long before an asteroid ever hit us. So it would be pointless.

·Anonymous G — 6 months ago, 1 minute later, 15 hours after the original post[T] [B] #670,178

We might as spend billions of dollars protecting our infrastructure from continental drift. It would make equally as much sense.

·Anonymous G — 6 months ago, 3 minutes later, 15 hours after the original post[T] [B] #670,179

Even if an asteroid did hit the Earth, if you were on the opposite side of the Earth when the asteroid that killed the dinosaurs hit the Gulf of Mexico, as long as you weren’t right by the water or something, you would have survived. The dinosaurs went extinct because of ecosystem collapse after the asteroid impact not because of the impact itself. So even if you lived through that, your life might not actually not be that much shorter than if you hadn’t lived through that.

+Anonymous H — 6 months ago, 22 minutes later, 15 hours after the original post[T] [B] #670,180

The asteroid YR4 2024 according to articles has about a 1% chance of colliding with earth and is "large enough to destroy a city." The earth is 70% water, about 80% of the land in the United States considered rural, the probability of A and B is P(A and B) = P(A) * P(B), and P(not A) = 1 - P(A). So the probability it collides with earth and it doesn’t hit the ocean and it doesn’t hit a rural area, you’re talking 0.01 * (1-0.7) * (1-0.8) = 0.0006 or 0.06% odds it will hit a city.

(Edited 4 minutes later.)

·Anonymous H — 6 months ago, 6 minutes later, 15 hours after the original post[T] [B] #670,181

@previous (H)
Then there are about 10,000 cities on Earth so if it does hit a city, the probability it will hit the city you live in is (1/10,000) * 0.006 = 0.00000006. So there is a 0.000006% chance that asteroid you’re talking about will kill you.

(Edited 53 seconds later.)

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